Israel and the Death Credit Syndrome
The author of this important piece has it right. Israel
is not allowed (by "world opinion" and, yes, by the United
States) to take drastic defensive action unless it assembles enough "death
credits" to warrant such a course. In this gruesome calculus,
one must also keep in mind that the population of the United States
is roughly
50 times that of Israel. Twenty killed in Israel is about equivalent
to one thousand being killed here. Would we stand for that? Would
we take
the most drastic of actions? You know what the answer is.
Gerardo Joffe, President
by P. David Hornik
September 10, 2003
How many Jews have to die before the world allows Israel
to truly defend itself? By November 1947, when the United Nations voted
on whether to establish a Jewish (and an Arab) state in Western Palestine,
the Jewish people had recently accumulated an impressive number of death
credits-about six million of them.
Before the Holocaust, it was harder to make the case for
a Jewish state in which Jews would not simply be at the mercy of their
enemies or dependent on the goodwill and protection of host societies.
One could point to massacres in the Ukraine, pogroms in
Poland, vicious incitement in many places, but it wasn't impressive enough,
and with the exception of the British government for a short period after
World War I, the Zionists were not able to prevail in the capitals of
the world. Six million, though, was an imposing figure, enough to play
a key role in convincing two-thirds of the UN to vote in favor of creating
the State of Israel on November 29, 1947.
It wasn't enough to dissuade the U.S. State Department and
Defense Department from embargoing arms to the new state in its War for
Independence, in the hope that it would be crushed by the Arab invaders.
That fate would spare what the State Department and the Pentagon expected
to be a nuisance and a headache.
But on the strength of its own grit and determination, arms
supply from the Soviet bloc, and the wave of international sympathy, based
largely on death credits, that had led to the state's establishment in
the first place, Israel was able to survive the onslaught and set about
the task of state-building.
In the last three years, during what is known as the Al-Aqsa
Intifada, the death-credit syndrome has come back to haunt Israel with
special intensity. The numbers, of course, are much more modest-in the
dozens or hundreds rather than millions.
Compared to the German fascists, the Islamofascists have
harder work to do because the Jewish community they are trying to annihilate
is armed. But the principle is similar.
Israel absorbs blows, letting its citizens be picked off
and murdered, until a particularly large and grisly attack gives it enough
death credits that it believes the world-and particularly the Bush administration-will
tolerate its taking military action.
It happened, for instance, in the case of the Park Hotel
suicide bombing on Passover eve, March 27, 2002, which killed 30 and wounded
140. Before that Israel had spent a year-and-a-half passively absorbing
numerous attacks of almost comparable magnitude, including the one at
the Dolphinarium disco in Tel Aviv on June 1, 2001, that killed 21 mostly
young Israelis, after which Prime Minister Sharon informed us that "restraint
is strength."
But in the case of the Park Hotel, the numbers combined
with the symbolism of attacking Jews during a religious ceremony added
up to enough death credits that Sharon launched Operation Defensive Shield.
Even then, a mere week later, President Bush mustered his grimmest and
most menacing expression, the one he uses for the likes of the Taliban
and Saddam Hussein, to proclaim that "Enough is enough!"
At present, Israeli forces have resumed hunting terrorists
in the territories and the White House and State Department are not complaining
too notably.
That's because, in the wake of the August 19 bus bombing
in Jerusalem that killed 21 civilians and scorched babies to death, Israel
again figured it had acquired enough death credits to allow it to fight
back for a while.
True, there had already been terrorist attacks and Israelis
killed during the hudna that began at the end of June.
On July 7, for instance, 65-year-old Mazal Afari was killed
in her home at Moshav Kfar Yavetz, and three of her grandchildren lightly
wounded, in a suicide bombing by an Islamic Jihad terrorist.
On July 15, 24-year-old Amir Simhon was stabbed to death
on the Tel Aviv beachfront by a terrorist from the Fatah Al-Aqsa Martyrs
brigade. But these were paltry numbers, inconsequential.
Presumably, Sharon calculated that if he were to say, "This
is no cease-fire; my people are still being murdered; I am ordering the
IDF to resume operations against the terrorists"-the death credits
would have been woefully insufficient and Israel, not the terrorists,
would have been blamed for derailing the hudna.
Then on August 12 there were two more suicide attacks, one
in Rosh Ha'ayin and one in Ariel.
But these were poorly executed, each taking the life of
only one Israeli-again, not enough to register at all on the death-credit
calculus.
The next day the Jerusalem Post editorialized: "Yesterday's
suicide bombings could easily have killed dozens of Israelis, as could
have the many similar attacks that have been thwarted since the hudna
was declared.
The game of tolerating missile attacks, suicide bombings,
and shootings so long as 'only' one or two people are killed is a cynical
and bloody one." The editorial went on to advise that the U.S. and
Israel give the Palestinian Authority an ultimatum: "either crush
the terrorists now, unconditionally, and without excuses, or Israel will
do so itself."
Not surprisingly, the suggestion went unheeded.
Then came the August 19 bombing.
Its 21 dead and over 100 wounded were victims of the terrorists
who targeted them.
But they were also victims of the death-credit syndrome,
whereby the U.S. and Israeli governments allow Israeli citizens to be
murdered so long as the numbers are small and unimpressive to them, and
wait for much larger numbers to be murdered before Israel is allowed to
act.
Ten years after the launching of Oslo and three years after
the launching of the Al-Aqsa Intifada, the upshot of U.S. and Israeli
policy is that the terrorist organizations are thriving as never before
in the West Bank and Gaza and an entire generation of Palestinians has
been poisoned with genocidal hatred.
Yasser Arafat, having waged a terror war for ten years,
is still sitting in his compound a few miles north of Jerusalem and still
waging his terror war. Israel is now subjecting the terrorists to assassinations
and pressure, activities that are of little efficacy as the renewed suicide
bombings attest.
Yet Israel continues to strut around like a geopolitical
Hamlet, speculating openly about reoccupying Gaza or finally doing something
decisive to divest Arafat of his power.
Since nothing short of reoccupying all the territories and
dismantling the PA terror-entity will suffice to end the death-credits
game-steps that neither the U.S. nor Israeli governments are prepared
to countenance-the likelihood is that the game will continue.
It will take a successful, catastrophic terror attack of
much larger proportions than twenty or thirty dead (such as the abortive
attempt to blow up the Pi Glilot fuel depot in Rishon Letsion on May 23,
2002, which could
have incinerated thousands of Israelis) to convince those two governments
that Israel has attained enough death credits to take drastic, final action.
For Israeli citizens, it is not a pleasant thought.
Facts and Logic About the Middle East
P.O. Box 590359
San Francisco, CA 94159
Gerardo Joffe, President
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