World Citizen: A Divided Arab World Faces a Muscular
Iran
by Frida Ghitis
World Politics Review, February 5, 2009
The idea of a single, united "Arab World"
has never moved very far beyond the realm of wishful thinking. The history
of the Middle East comes filled with countless chapters on intra-Arab
warfare and numerous tomes on political enmity and intrigue pitting Arab
states against each other. From the earliest days of Islam, when the Sunni-Shiite
divide tore the believers apart, to the late 20th century, when conflicts
such as the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait and subsequent U.S.-led counterattack
divided Arab loyalties, unity has proven elusive. At times, it was possible
to downplay the split. Now, however, all pretenses have disappeared. The
Arab world is as sharply divided as ever.
Today, Arab countries have taken their positions on two
distinct sides of a dividing line. The source of the split is the growing
power of the Arabs' long-time enemy, Persia, in its modern embodiment:
The Islamic Republic of Iran.
Iran's support of militant groups has always worried regimes
seeking to hold on to power. In recent years, Iran's ability to sow unrest
has become plainly visible, with fighting in Gaza, Lebanon and Iraq led
by militias funded and trained by Tehran.
Iran's relative power in the region grew as a result of
the conflict in Iraq, which weakened the one country that had managed
to keep Tehran's ambitions in check. Under Saddam Hussein, Iraq took on
Iran head on, sapping the revolutionary regime's ability to cause mischief
beyond its borders.
Tehran's ambitions are rather plainly stated
in its constitution, which calls for spreading Islamic revolution beyond
the country's borders. Arab regimes know this is not a vague notion. According
to a Kuwaiti newspaper, Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak recently told
members of the ruling party that, "The Persians are trying to devour
the Arab states."
Arab regimes worry that Tehran, with its revolutionary ideology
and proxy militias will destabilize their countries. And that is even
before Tehran achieves its nuclear goals. If it succeeds in developing
nuclear weapons, the Islamic Republic could prove unstoppable.
Leading the effort to block Iran's objectives are Saudi
Arabia and Egypt. Saudi Arabia, the birth place of Islam, has long feared
Iran's efforts to delegitimize Al-Saud family rule. Egypt, the most populous
Arab nation, worries about Iranian influence in general, but has particular
concerns over Iran's support of Hamas, an outgrowth of Egypt's Muslim
Brotherhood, the country's main opposition group.
On the other side of the division, Iran's main ally is Syria.
Tehran also enjoys enormous influence stemming from the power of Hezbollah
in Lebanon and Hamas in the Palestinian Territories, particularly in Gaza.
Also seeming to side with Iran is the Emirate of Qatar, although Qatar
has a history of playing both sides in an effort to punch above its diplomatic
weight.
The most visible signs of the Arab schism
emerged during the 22 days of fighting in Gaza between Israel and Hamas.
The so-called "Arab street," as it is often called with a measure
of disdain, sided squarely against Israel, if not quite so unequivocally
behind Hamas. Arab governments, however, took a much different position.
While public rage grew with the constant stream of images of Palestinian
casualties on Al-Jazeera and other Arab satellite stations, the response
from inside Arab palaces was another matter.
The government of Egypt, despite popular anger, essentially
sided with Israel, accusing Hamas of provoking the conflict with its rocket
attacks. Cairo blocked the Gaza-Egypt border through which Hamas could
have resupplied its munitions stock. Other countries also spoke carefully
about the conflict, especially in the early days of the fighting. They
may have condemned Israel and expressed solidarity with Palestinians,
but most were careful not to stand with Hamas.
The one government that, somewhat surprisingly, positioned
itself on the Iranian side was the emirate of Qatar. The tiny Gulf state,
which has close relations with the U.S., took a strong pro-Hamas stance,
calling for an emergency Arab League summit as soon as the fighting started.
The plan, backed by Iran's close ally Syria, was to present a united Arab
front against Israel. Saudi Arabia, however, blocked the idea. Qatar continued
working to bring together all Arab heads of state. When the meeting finally
happened, key countries, such as Egypt, Saudi Arabia and Jordan, stayed
away and the meeting could not reach a quorum. The gathering did not qualify
as an Arab League summit. Instead of presidents and kings, the exiled
leader of Hamas, Khaled Meshal, sat at the table, angering the Palestinian
Authority, the official government of the Palestinians. Also in attendance
was Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad.
Jordan, which also sides with Egypt and
Saudi Arabia, found the conflict particularly excruciating. With a majority
Palestinian population, it sought to play a role that highlighted its
solidarity with Palestinians without siding with Hamas and its Iranian
sponsors. In the end, Jordan also boycotted the Doha meeting.
Interestingly, the divisions place much of the Arab world
on the same side as Israel (and the United States) on a key strategic
interest.
Since the ceasefire between Hamas and Israel went into effect,
visitors to the region say they have heard profound disappointment in
Arab capitals about Israel's failure to overthrow the Hamas regime. Such
statements can only be uttered in quiet meetings out of earshot of the
media or the "Arab Street."
Egypt has started speaking even more bluntly about Iran's
clients in the region. An Egyptian government statement accused Hezbollah's
leader Hassan Nasrallah of being "an agent of Iran." That was
not meant as a compliment. The underlying charge is that doing Iran's
bidding means betraying your Arab brethren.
The current tally of the two sides seems
to favor the anti-Iran side. After all, only Syria and Qatar can be counted
as having stood up firmly in Hamas' (read Iran's) corner during the Gaza
conflict. In the coming months, the leaders of the anti-Iran block of
the Arab schism will try to enlist more support for their side. (Keep
an eye on efforts to lure secular Damascus out of Tehran's tent.)
The divide will mark the path of Washington's two principal
strategic efforts in the region: the move to stop Iran's pursuit of nuclear
weapons, and the push for peace between Israelis and Arabs.
Frida Ghitis is an independent commentator on world
affairs and a World Politics Review contributing editor. Her weekly column,
World Citizen, appears every Thursday.
Facts and Logic About the Middle East
P.O. Box 590359
San Francisco, CA 94159
Gerardo Joffe, President
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