“…somebody… would have
to preempt to keep Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons… The
survival of the world is at stake.” |
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Iran and Nuclear Weapons
What does the world, what does Israel have
to fear?
Despite evasions, denials and equivocations, it
is quite clear now that Iran is intensely pursuing the holy grail
of nuclear weapons. The only question is whether it is six months
or three years away from that goal. What would it mean to the world,
what would it mean to Israel, if Iran succeeded in this quest and
if nobody, no country, would prevent it?
What are the facts?
An existential danger. In 1981, Israel,
in a daring raid, destroyed the Iraqi nuclear installation at Osirak.
The whole world, sad to say, including the United States, condemned Israel
for this “act of aggression.” But, of course, Israel did
the world a tremendous favor, a favor that was only grudgingly acknowledged
many years later. Had it not been for Israel’s decisive action,
Saddam Hussein would indeed have had nuclear weapons. The Iraqi dictator
would have been the undisputed master of the Middle East. The United
States, indeed the whole world, would have been at his mercy.
An even much greater danger now threatens us from Iran,
because Iran is governed by religiously fanatic mullahs, who do not shrink
from bringing any sacrifice, wreaking any destruction, if they believe
that it will bring their religion-inspired goals to fruition. The primary
targets of that fanatical zeal of the Iranian ayatollahs are the U.S.
(the “big Satan”) and Israel (the “little Satan”),
perceived as being America’s agent in the Middle East.
Since Iran is close to possession of long-range missiles,
the United States would be in mortal danger of attack by that country.
But even short of such attack, Iran, just as Saddam had planned, would
be in unquestioned dominance of the Middle East and of its oil supply,
the life blood of the Western world. It would cause intolerable damage
to life and to the economy of the United States.
But Israel is the most immediate target of Iran’s
fury. Iran’s unquenchable hatred of Israel is totally based on
religious rage and on the conviction that “nonbelievers” have
no legitimate place in the Middle East. Iran’s leaders have publicly
threatened Israel with destruction once they come into possession of
nuclear weapons.
Horrifying panorama. Israel is such a
small country that one or two nuclear weapons strategically placed in
its narrow coastal strip would destroy it. Louis René Beres, professor
of political science and international law at Purdue University, has
described what would happen if and when Iran’s mullahs direct their
Islamic bombs on Israel. In addition to an immediate death toll in the
hundreds of thousands, overwhelming health problems would afflict the
survivors. Beyond the immediate burn injuries, Israelis would be crushed
by collapsing buildings and torn to shreds by flying glass. Others would
fall victim to raging firestorms. Fallout injuries would include whole-body
radiation injuries and injuries produced by deposits of radioactive substances
within the body. After an Iranian nuclear attack, medical facilities
would be taxed beyond capacity. Water supplies would become altogether
unusable. Housing and shelter would be unavailable for hundreds of thousands.
Transportation and all other communication would break down and food
shortages would be critical and long-term.
Normal human society would cease. Many of the survivors
could expect an increase in serious degenerative diseases, also premature
death, impairment of vision and sterility. A vastly increased incidence
of all kinds of cancers would be unavoidable. Many balanced relationships
in nature would be destroyed, upset by the extensive fallout. Survivors
would have to deal with mushrooming insect hordes that would spread from
the radiation-damaged areas in which they arose. This fact, coupled with
the prevalence of unburied corpses, uncontrolled waste and untreated
sewage, would generate tens of trillions of flies and mosquitoes. Breeding
in the dead bodies, these insects would make it impossible to control
typhus, malaria, dengue fever and encephalitis. But beyond that, throughout
Israel, the largest health threat would be posed by hundreds of thousands
of rotting human corpses. The survivors might envy the dead.
The effects of a nuclear attack on Israel are too horrible
to consider. Even the description given above cannot begin to do justice
to the devastation and to the total destruction that would be wrought.
There can be little question that, as its final action as a coherent
society, Israel would use its own considerable military might against
its tormentors and would convert the entire Middle East into a hell,
in which ultimately nothing could survive. It is clear that that has
to be prevented at all cost, and that no effort should be spared to keep
the hands of the evil ayatollahs off the nuclear trigger. One hopes that
it can be done by persuasion and diplomacy. But if it can not, somebody
— perhaps the United States or perhaps Israel, with or without the approval
of
the United States — would have to preempt and, by whatever means,
keep Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons. It is the most important cause
of our time. The survival of the world is at stake. This ad has been published and paid for by
Facts and Logic About the Middle East
P.O. Box 590359
San Francisco, CA 94159
Gerardo Joffe, President
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