“One can only hope
that the Israeli people... and the government of ‘Bibi’
Netanyahu will understand the peril [of a Palestinian state] and will
act accordingly.” |
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A Demilitarized Palestinian State (II)
Should Israel, should the world rely on it?
It is the declared policy of the
United States government (and of most of the world) that in order to bring
peace to the Middle East, the creation of a Palestinian state –
the two-state solution – is indispensable. Even many Israelis have
come to agree with that. But it is generally understood and taken for
granted that such a state, which would essentially consist of Judea/Samaria
(the “West Bank”) and Gaza, would have to be totally demilitarized.
What are the facts?
Israel is a very small country. Israel
is surrounded by enemies. It is a very small country. Including the Golan
and the “West Bank,” it is only one-half the size of San Bernardino
county in California. Israel concluded peace with Egypt in 1978 and some
years later with Jordan. Most other Arab states are still in a declared
or undeclared state of war with Israel. Iran, Muslim though not Arab,
is the most determined and deadly of them all. It lurks in the back- ground,
its foremost military and political objective being the destruction of
the State of Israel, which is quite openly declared.
Recent events in Gaza, regrettably, are an indicator of
what Israel could expect from an independent Palestinian state, even though
declared to be “demilitarized.” Hamas, the terror organization
in control of Gaza, has lobbed close to 10,000 rockets into Israel. Until
now, these rockets have been of relatively poor quality, of fairly short
range, and of limited accuracy. Even so, they have caused much damage
and injuries and have put the Israeli localities affected into an almost
constant state of alarm, making normal life impossible.
Even after the hard lesson that Israel taught Hamas in the
recent short war, the terror continues: rockets fall almost daily on the
Israeli cities within range. But, supplied by Iran and China, and smuggled
through tunnels from the Sinai into Gaza, much more sophisticated rockets
are now making their appearance. Larger population centers such as Beersheba
and Jerusalem are coming within range.
Demilitarization is a myth. Nobody can
reasonably doubt that even if Israel, under the never-ending pressure
of world opinion, were to relinquish control of the “West Bank,”
a scenario similar to what happened and continues to happen in Gaza would
prevail. Even if the “West Bank” Palestinians would wish not
to become an armed camp similar to Gaza, the reality is that the Arab
nations would not allow that. In contrast to Gaza, which is isolated from
the world and which can be reached only through tunnels made and used
under the “watchful eyes” of the cooperating Egyptians, the
“West Bank” is totally accessible. The “Palestinian
Authority,” which is in control of the “West Bank,”
has thousands of trained soldiers disguised as police. Those so-called
police are poised to be helicoptered in minutes to positions on the border
with Israel, with armed forces from Syria reaching them within the same
night. But such mobilization of the “demilitarized” Palestine
would not even be required. As the Gaza experience shows, the weapons
of preference of the Palestinian terrorists are rockets – either
the Qassam, which are raining on Israel from Gaza, the Soviet-made Katyushas
– highly efficient, truck-mounted and mobile, which are ideal for
hit-and-run raids against Israel – or the even more advanced Iranian
and Chinese missiles, that are now in the pipeline. Israel could not prevent
them from flooding the “West Bank.” A look at the map makes
clear that even with the missiles of present performance and a hostile
and not at all “demilitarized” Palestine covering Israel with
missiles from Gaza and from the Judean ridges of the “West Bank,”
virtually all of Israel would be under the Palestinian guns, from every
point of the border, which would by then have lengthened from about 60
miles to over 200 miles. Virtually all of Israel’s population centers
would be within range. So would virtually all of the country’s industrial
centers, the military establishments and the country’s only international
airport. Life in Israel would quite literally grind to a standstill.
While the idea of a Palestinian state may have some merit,
there is abundant proof – the most recent being the continuing rocket
attacks from Gaza – that such a state, whatever the promises at
its creation, would represent an immediate existential threat to Israel.
There has never been such a Palestinian state and the creation of such
a state is not the primary nor even the secondary goal of the Arabs. Their
primary and never-changing goal – overshadowing everything else
– is the destruction of Israel – “wiping it off the
map,” to use the fanatic Muslims’ favorite phrase. After unwisely
having turned Gaza over to the Palestinians, yielding the “West
Bank” to its sworn enemies would make Israel indefensible. Israel
would be laying the groundwork for its own destruction. Tanks, warplanes,
and infantry battalions would only be needed for the final mopping-up
process. In the meantime, the missile batteries located in Gaza and on
the Judean ridges – Israel’s proposed new borders –
would suffice to paralyze life and industrial activity in Israel. One
can only hope that the Israeli people and Israel’s new government
under “Bibi” Netanyahu will understand this peril and will
act accordingly.
This ad has been published and paid
for by
Facts and Logic About the Middle East
P.O. Box 590359
San Francisco, CA 94159
Gerardo Joffe, President
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